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We have got a fantastic deal to bring you into profitable football betting for 2012!

Thanks to some good fortune, we are now able to offer our Football Alchemy 2012 System at the incredible price of £10/month (previously £25!)

** ALL EXISTING MEMBERS WILL AUTOMATICALLY GET THE NEW PRICE **

For this you get emails on every matchday with the #1 best value bet in the following competitions:

  • Champions League
  • Europa League
  • English Premier League
  • Scottish Premier
  • La Liga
  • Bundesliga
  • Serie A

Each bet comes with all the information you need to know:

  • Who to back/lay
  • At what price
  • The likelihood of the bet winning
  • How much of your bank to bet (%)

We work to high likelihood events (minimum 50% chance of bet winning) and recommend the one that is forecast to give the highest return on investment over time.

In addition, the bet size is:

  • adjusted for risk to safeguard your capital
  • calculated using a variant on the Kelly criterion for the highest long-term payout
  • adjusted to take into account commissions

The very best value betting system is now even better value! Join in by clicking here.

If you are any less than delighted with the performance, you can unsubscribe at anytime!

SUBSCRIBE HERE!

 

 

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Top recommendation for today was the LAY of Freiburg at 2.46, the game ended 1-1.

Note that we only recommended the highest value bet, ie the one with the best return on investment and give information on stake size too for the best risk/reward balance (based on the Kelly Method).

We also provide subscriber worksheets with value, trade out, position size and capital management calculators.

Not already a subscriber, get yourself in the first team here!

You get the first month as a trial with 40% off so no excuses! A very small investment for the complete football betting system!

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With just 3 games in leagues that we cover, we made this available for free ahead of kick-off on both our facebook and twitter!

Fortunately Leverkusen won 2-0!

Not already a subscriber, get yourself in the first team here!

You get the first month as a trial with 40% off so no excuses! A very small investment for the complete football betting system!

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Here is yesterday’s forecast for the Europa League. Our recommendation came in with FC Vaslui and Lazio playing out a 0-0 draw!

Not already a subscriber, get yourself in the first team here!

You get the first month as a trial with 40% off so no excuses! A very small investment for the complete football betting system!

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Here is yesterday’s forecast for the Europa League. Our recommendation came in with Hapoel Tel Aviv beating Rapid Bucharest 3-1 away from home!

Not already a subscriber, get yourself in the first team here!

You get the first month as a trial with 40% off so no excuses! A very small investment for the complete football betting system!

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After a break for the International games (which were also covered by us), the club games returned on Saturday.

Here is a copy of the forecast that subscribers received.

Full info given on pick, price, likelihood of win, value represented, overall bet ‘Quality’ and recommended position size according to the Kelly Method (aka Fortune’s Formula).

If you’re not already getting this quality information, you can subscribe to our forecasts at any time throughout the season from here.

Your first month trial is only £15 and the subscription can be cancelled at any time if you think you’re getting any less than excellent information!

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There has been a couple of changes to the system, one of which has been in place for the last couple of weeks and one that you will see from now on.

The first one is a change to the formula that assesses the probability of each event. More weight is given to  recent form than before and this should bring big improvements to the assessment of ‘surprise’ teams that are over-/underperforming compared to early season expectations.

The second is that our recommendations will now favour those outcomes that have 50% likelihood or higher instead of the current maximum ‘Quality’ score selection. The idea here is that we will gain a higher number of winners and make up for the (slightly) lower expected RoI through compounding returns (from larger bank sizes).

We will see more LAY bets in matches as these give us a win on 2 out of the 3 outcomes, compared to a BACK. If anybody needs help with placing LAY Bets please get in contact and we will assist.

Some betting exchanges (such as BETDAQ) request that you enter the BACKER’S STAKE rather than your LIABILITY when placing a LAY bet. We give the Position Size as the amount you risk, so this is your liability whether backing or laying.

As an example, if the recommended Position Size is 4.5% and your nominal bank is £1000, then your liability is £45. To LAY @ 2.34 the BACKER’S STAKE is:

LIABILITY/(ODDS-1) 45/(2.34-1) = £33.58

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Here is yesterday’s forecast data. Did you have figures for likelihood, value and stake size using your system? If not, join us! http://www.footballalchemy.co.uk/football-alchemy-system-2012/

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The Champions League forecast proved profitable this week with 2 wins out of 3:

Results

Man City 2 – 1 Villareal

Dinamo Zagreb 0 – 2 Ajax

Olympiacos 3 – 1 Borussia Dortmund

Only a minute away from 3 wins but Sergio Aguero’s last minute winner saw City get their first Champions League win.

Well done to our subscribers!

For those ready to get in on the complete betting system, please subscribe here. First month only £15!

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The forecast for tonight’s games has been sent out to subscribers!

Only 3 games but there are 2 recommendations with high expected return on investments.

For those who are yet to sign up, your first month is only £15!

Get in on the profits of the complete betting system, Football Alchemy 2012.

 

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